Modeling the Direction and Volume of Trade Flows in Global Crisis, COVID-19

The massive spread of COVID-19 has disrupted trading activities worldwide plunging the economy a nation; particularly, trade-dependent nations are severely affected by restriction in exports and imports. This paper aims to evaluate implications on trade New Zealand exploratory data analysis ARIMA modeling. Based comprehensive strategy prediction, were processed notice impact pandemic sales. (Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average) model was implemented assess determine total imports value Zealand. efficacy results tested employing standard error analytical techniques. Analysis demonstrated that shows plunge with rise is likely decline future. On basis, it recommended allowing for essential goods as key factor balancing Future scope research focused identify other factors could stimulate during pandemic.